1. First Principles
Write purpose, ethics, and cultural non-negotiables first — then the economic engine that serves them.
FirstForge Predictor
First-Principles Forecasting
Charles Clement • 804-241-4194
FirstForge Predictor
First-Principles Monte Carlo Forecasting for Small Businesses & Nonprofits
Turn uncertainty into clarity in 15 minutes
Contact: Charles Clement • 804-241-4194
Download the short white paper: Why the FirstForge Predictor
How to use FirstForge Predictor
- 1. Complete the five modules (you can go back at any time).
- 2. Optionally upload PDFs, spreadsheets, or Word docs — any data about the business. Grok organizes it.
- 3. Run 10,000 Monte Carlo paths and stress the drivers that matter.
- 4. Open the on-site report. Print or save it for a board or client meeting.
Grok reads your files and writes the narrative here. Numbers are computed in the FirstForge engine — Grok never invents profit or probabilities.
2. File loader
PDF, spreadsheets, Word — any data about your business is organized and brought to life.
3. Monte Carlo
10,000 first-principles paths. P10 / P50 / P90, not a single guess.
4. Planning
Where are we? Where do we want to be? How are we going to get there? Type it here or upload a strategic plan.
5. What If? Sensitivity, AMA & Get Better
Stress any future, ask anything, then confirm the three Get Better efficiency metrics that move revenue and cost. Adopted items land on Module 1.
Report
Board-ready narrative, charts, print, and JSON save for the next session.
Load a saved forecast
Load a saved FirstForge session JSON from your computer. You can also load a forecast from the Advisor desk after you sign in.